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Welcome to another installment of Crunching

The Numbers , a weekly, stats-based game preview I do for Bleeding Green Nation. For more about the stats I use (and why I use them) to make my “armchair coach” observations, check out an archive of previous posts in this series here.Week 7 In HindsightI’ll be honest - I didn’t devote any attention to football for the rest of Sunday and all through Monday. I didn’t watch the late games, or Sunday Night Football. I barely checked my fantasy scores. I didn’t read a single football-related article on Monday. I don’t think I’ve ever been as disgusted with an Eagles loss as I was yesterday. Not even the Titans game earlier this year or the Joe Webb game in 2010. Or the Redskins game in 2008. I could go on, but you get the idea.What’s so frustrating is how hard this team is to figure out. On offense they look efficient and methodical. The defense gets pressure. Carson Wentz is having a better start to this season than he did in his MVP-caliber season last year. And yet, they fail to play complete games against scrappy teams. They’ve blown two 17-point leads. They haven’t beaten a team with more than 2 wins. The offense has only managed to score more than 21 points on one occasion. None of these facts feel right. But they are.It’s easy to blame yesterday’s loss on the defense for giving up 3 fourth quarter touchdowns. They definitely deserve their fair share of the blame, but at the same time, this “three score lead” was 17-0. Can we really expect to win games scoring 17 points in today’s NFL? Are the replacements in the secondary good enough to play a complete game? With their experience, should we expect them to be?This is a complicated issue, but the two biggest problems seem to be the lack of the big play (where have you been, Aggy?) and the unreliability on defense. In other words, this team is bland. They are effective, but lack the capability to give themselves a shot in the arm when they need one. The closest they came on Sunday was when Wentz baited the Panthers into a pass interference call deep down the field. It wasn’t even a completed pass. This, coupled with an injured and young defense that simply does not have the talent or experience to make plays consistently, has the makings of an efficient team that will beat you in the most boring way possible. The natural side effect of this is that if you can actually make the game interesting, you’ll probably beat them. Unless you’re the Colts. Because they’re bad.I’m not ready to blame Doug - he hasn’t shown any signs of being less aggressive than he as last season - but it seems obvious now he really misses the brain trust of Reich and DeFilippo. If things don’t turn around soon, he might need to shake things up with how he delegates game-planning responsibilities to the coaching staff. It’s becoming quite apparent that this team is lacking an “X” factor that they had last year in spades.With all that being said, it’s my turn to play coach as the team prepares to play the Jaguars in London. Bold-faced statistics indicate that team has the advantage, while numbers in parenthesis are the league rank.Game Preview: Jacksonville JaguarsThe Eagles have a decent advantage (almost) across the board, with the exception of sack percentage, and even that’s not that big of a difference. YPA is about even Womens Harold Carmichael Jersey , although the Jaguars quarterback situation is in flux and the Eagles started Nick Foles for two games, so that might not be reliable. And while the Eagles’ 16.5 Y/PT is nothing to sneeze at, Jacksonville’s 21.4 Y/PT is downright abysmal. They are essentially needing two drives starting as touchbacks just to score a touchdown. There is also one more factor to consider not mentioned here: the Wembley Effect. This will be the fourth straight year the Jaguars play in London. They know the routine and how to deal with the time change. They have won their last three games at Wembley, including a total thrashing of the Baltimore Ravens last season. It’s not a “real” stat, but it is a real advantage at this point that we must consider going into this game. But now, for the actual game plan.Eagles OffenseIt’s tough to discern exactly what the Eagles should do on offense. The stats tell one story, and it’s clear that recently the eye test reveals the Jaguars have been struggling, but at the same time Jacksonville has one of the most talented defenses in the league. Do you plan around what they have been capable of historically? Or do you throw that to the wind and go off what we’ve seen in recent weeks?Personally, I think the Eagles need to risk a shock to their system. The Jaguars have been generating pressure at a rate similar to the Panthers and I felt the Eagles handled that very well. Carson often had time to throw and a clean pocket. As long as the early returns are similar in London, dial up some deep passes to liven up the offense and let the Jaguars know you’re not afraid to attack them. I know this has been the opposite of what I’ve been saying for the past month, but now that the offensive line has shown demonstrable improvement, I think they can afford to change things up a little bit.Of course, this isn’t Madden. I’m not suggesting they go “four verts” on every play. The screen game proved effective last Sunday against Carolina and I think that’s something they should continue to develop, especially since the Jaguars have the talent up front to bottle up a traditional ground game. Screens and bombs also complement each other quite well, and I think they can work in tandem to mitigate the aggressiveness of the defense.Eagles DefenseIf the Eagles need “a shot in the arm” on offense, the Jaguars need a punch in the face. I cannot overstate how bad their Y/PT is. Their figure of 21.4 is a full yard more than the next-worst team, the Oakland Raiders. If there was a team that needed a big play to reinvigorate themselves, it’s the Jaguars, which means that preventing long passes should be the Eagles’ top priority. In recent weeks they’ve done much better at defending the deep routes, but have still given up large catch-and-runs, including old friend Torrey Smith’s devastating fourth down reception last week. Dede Westbrook is very much in the Torrey Smith mold Wilbert Montgomery Jersey , so a focus on surer tackling in practice should be a focal point of game preparation. Blake Bortles seems to be hot-and-cold with his confidence, so keeping everything in front of them and forcing him to dink and dunk his way down the field should help them in the red zone, where the Eagles are either “very good” or “very bad.” They’ll need the very good red zone defense to win on Sunday, especially if the Jacksonville defense suddenly wakes up.Closing ThoughtsOverall, this has been a disappointing start to the season. It sucks that, for some reason, they have to figure out how to close out and win games all over again. The offense just isn’t scoring at the rate we’re accustomed to - even with Carson’s improved play - and the defense simply does not seem to have enough talent on the back end to play a complete game. As weird as it is to say, maybe the Eagles suffered all the “right” injuries last year, and all the “wrong” ones this year. It might be easier for Schwartz to adjust for injured linebackers than it is for him to adjust to a banged up secondary. Likewise, Pederson might be more adept at covering for injured linemen and quarterbacks than he is at making up for injuries at other skill positions. We won’t know for sure until we see how they fare in the second half of the season.On that note, not all is lost. This is certainly not the start we wanted - or expected - but the NFC East kind of sucks again this year. They have 5 division matchups in their last 8 games to take control of their path to the playoffs. It’s also important to remember that the NFL season is often a tale of two halves. The 2013 Eagles started 3-5 before going on a 7-1 tear to close out the season, and in as recently as the 2016 season the Falcons were 5-4 before steamrolling their way to a Super Bowl berth that they reasonably should have won. This Eagles team is as talented as both of those (if not more), so there’s no reason why they can’t turn the corner for the home stretch. I still have faith that we can see the Eagles hosting a playoff game at the Linc in January.Do you? THIS IS WHAT WILL HAPPEN. EXACTLY."WhiteFanposts Fanshots Eagles StoriesScheduleRosterStatsYahoo Eagles NewsYahoo Eagles Team PageYahoo Eagles ReportYahoo Eagles Depth ChartYahoo Eagles TransactionsYahoo Eagles PhotosOdds About Masthead Community Guidelines StubHub ✕Final Eagles 7-Round Mock DraftNew,115commentsTHIS IS WHAT WILL HAPPEN. EXACTLY. EDTShareTweetShareShareFinal Eagles 7-Round Mock DraftMatthew Emmons-USA TODAY SportsLadies and gentlemen, we’ve made it. The final mock draft. The last gasp at prognostication. The final time you get to yell at me on social media.This is my prediction, according to the many things I’ve heard and seen over the long and arduous draft cycle. It is unequal parts Roseman’s tendencies, Douglas’s tastes, team needs, best player available, and wishful thinking — as all drafts are, there’s never just one reason to make a selection.1.25: Marquise Brown , WR, OklahomaAs we’ve written about and discussed on podcasts a few times here on Bleeding Green, Marquise Brown to Philly at 25 has some serious legs — if he gets that far. Brown has serious Round 1 interest in the league for his game-breaking speed, RB-like vision with the ball in his hands, and excellent routes. Of course, Brown didn’t test and came into the Combine light because of a Lisfranc injury that should be monitored, but if he’s healthy, he has the potential to be an elite deep threat in the league.I don’t love this pick, but we don’t have much of a feel for where the Eagles might like to go at 25 beyond Brown, so he’s currently our best bet2.53: Deionte Thompson, S, AlabamaWe know the Eagles have done their homework on the safety class, though they haven’t done much work on Thompson — but the film speaks for itself on this player. Though he’s thinner and lacks hitting power, Thompson is exactly what the Eagles need to replace Rodney McLeod in the future: a true centerfield.Thompson showcases elite processing and great range from single-high alignments, able to bait quarterbacks into poor decisions and make plays on the football at the apex. His ball skills and range will help protect the Eagles’ Cover 3 corners from the double-moves that have plagued them in recent seasons.2.57: Yodny Cajuste, OT, West VirginiaThe West Virginia connection is a real thing for Philadelphia, as is the need for a 2020 starter at LT behind Jason Peters. Yodny Cajuste fits that bill nicely, as a player who could use some technical refinement before being thrust into a starting role.Cajuste is recovering from surgery for a torn quad, but will be able to go during the 2019 season should Peters go down. His size, aggressive physical play Womens Mike Quick Jersey , and set quickness all lend themselves to Philadelphia’s brand of offensive linemen.4.127: Daniel Wise, DT, KansasIt took a bit of time to get down to the interior defensive line in this mock, but it’s a deep class and I don’t think the Eagles should be afraid of waiting on a contributor. They got one here in Wise, a strong penetration player with NFL bloodlines and a high ceiling.Wise’s physical tools are only modest, but he is a great penetration player because of his upper body strength, hand usage, and motor. As a rotational interior player, he makes a lot of sense, as he’s sound against the run and pro-ready in terms of build and strength. He’ll be maximized in Jim Schwartz’s one-gap, aggressive system.4.138: Joe Jackson, EDGE, MiamiReally love the fit of Jackson in Philly. He wins with explosiveness on the high side rush, attacking with quickness on the outside shoulder and bending around the edge — but at the NFL level, he won’t find his wins as easily with his first step, and must improve his hand usage and secondary counters.Philadelphia’s wide alignments will help Jackson maximize his explosiveness and get to that outside shoulder, where he’s a strong finisher with good surface-area reduction and balance. As a rotation player, he’s a smart run-defender who can stay on the field long-term if players get injured above him.5.163: Lamont Gaillard, C, GeorgiaIdeal backup for Jason Kelce here, who played through a ton of minor injury last season and is getting longer in the tooth. Isaac Seumalo can snap in a pinch Reggie White Jersey , of course, but I’d rather leave my starting LG where he is and replace center, should Kelce go down — and I need to develop an interior player for Kelce’s retirement anyway.Gaillard needs a zone style system to be successful, which he gets in Philly. Good hand placement and footwork help him win in a phone booth, though his physical tools really aren’t much to write home about. He can’t execute the reach blocks and climbs that Kelce can, but then again — few can.6.197: Devine Ozigbo, RB, NebraskaA Combine snub without much production before this season, we don’t really know where Ozigbo is going to end up in the draft, but as a Day 3 option for the Eagles, he’s an interesting prospect.Ozigbo’s a big boy, but he’s surprisingly spry and, critically, active in the passing game: 39 receptions over his last two seasons. Ozigbo wins on zone-style runs, which pairs nicely with Jordan Howard, who will execute more of Philadelphia’s power/trap concepts between the tackles. The Eagles break the mold of UDFA RB here, but it’s worth it for a player of Ozigbo’s caliber.